Tuesday, 9 June 2009

The May MORI Political Monitor poll and the actual results of the Europen elections - what went wrong, or right?

The actual results of the European elections were considerably different to MORI's May political monitor.  We know that people vote differently in European elections - including by making a protest against national issues.  However it seems more comlex than that;

Ipsos MORI's May Political Monitor (carried out by telephone between 29-31 May among 1,001 British adults aged 18 and over) shows that among those absolutely certain to vote, theConservative Party lead the Labour Party by 22 points. The Conservatives are on 40% (a drop of one point from last month), Labour has fallen to 18% (down from 28% last month) and the LibDems have dropped four points to 18%. This leaves 22% giving a vote for other parties, double the number of ‘other' votes collected in April 2009.

This ‘other' category breaks down as follows:

  • Scottish/Welsh Nationalist: 4%
  • Greens: 6%
  • UKIP: 7%
  • BNP: 4%
  • Other: 3%
What observations do readers have?

Posted via web from sunwalking's posterous

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